Round The
World
New Delhi, 13 November 2020
The SCO Summit
EXERCISE IN FUTILITY
By Dr. D.K. Giri
(Prof, Intl Relations, JMI)
The 20th
SCO (Shanghai Co-operation Organisation) Summit (Virtual) took place on 10th
November under the chairmanship of Russian President Vladimir Putin. As usual,
a good deal of diplomatic rhetoric was deployed by the heads of the
eight-member Body, mainly the leaders of China, India and Pakistan. Given the
intense on-going rivalry between India and Pakistan, India and China and India
and Pakistan and China combined, the SCO summits appear to be uninspiring.
In the name of
multilateralism, and regional cooperation, countries join groups like SCO and
in turn SCO joins other multilateral bodies like United Nations, Commonwealth
of Independent Nations, ASEAN and so on. But whether any meaningful purpose, in
terms of national interest, is served in such regional groups is a big question
of strategy for respective foreign policies and for international politics.
Note that SAARC has been stalled by the internecine and hitherto irreconcilable
conflict between India and Pakistan.
The SCO was created
on 15 June 2001 as a political, economic and security alliance by six countries
in Central Asia including China. India and Pakistan joined the grouping in 2017
at the behest of Russia and China. Russia wanted India to be included perhaps
to counter-balance the overbearing position of China, which got Pakistan to
balance India. Both countries joined together in a summit in Astana,
Kazakhstan.
Sample the speeches
made in the summit yesterday, in order to substantiate the charge of being
rhetorical than realist. Chinese President Xi Jinping said, “SCO members should
deepen mutual trust and resolve disputes and differences through dialogue and
consultations, while firmly dealing with terrorist, separatist and extremist
forces”. Yes, this is the Chinese tactic. They chip away territory of their
neighbours like India through ‘salami slicing’ and then negotiate. They will go
through rounds of negotiations like the eight rounds done so far with India in
regard to the current six-month old LAC standoff, but not budge an inch from
their occupation. They talk of dealing with terrorists but shielded Azhar
Masood by vetoing in his favour in the UN.
Jinping continued, “Countries
of the SCO should resolutely oppose external forces’ interfering in their
internal affairs under any pretext”. He was perhaps referring to Quad Foreign
Ministers’ meeting in Tokyo last month to counter Beijing’s belligerence in
Indo-Pacific region. But he conveniently forgets his interference in India’s
internal affairs or for that matter Pakistan’s and Nepal’s. Furthermore, Xi waxes
eloquent, “we need to act on the vision of common, comprehensive and
sustainable security, address or forms of threats and challenges effectively
and foster a sound security atmosphere in our region”. It could not be more
platitudinous as China poses the major threat to the Indo-Pacific security.
Pakistan Prime
Minister Imran Khan speaking after Modi criticised India without naming the
country and praised China for all the largesse it receives from Beijing. In an
apparent reference to Kashmir, which is a national obsession for Pakistan, Khan
said, “SCO stands for strict observance of the principles of UN charter such as
equality and sovereignty of states and peoples’ right to self determination.”
He added, “unilateral and illegal measures to change the status of disputed
territories must be opposed”. Khan made the statements in violation of
foundational principles of SCO consisting of consensus and cooperation, and of
the Shanghai spirit.
Note that in
September this year India walked out of a virtual meeting of the National
Security Advisors of SCO as Pakistani representative projected a controversial
map of the borders. The SCO chair then, Russia, later informed New Delhi that
the Pakistan had displayed the map despite being asked not to do so.
Narendra Modi
targeted both Pakistan and China without, of course, naming them. He said in a
tone of admonition, “India believes that to enhance connectivity, it is
important that we move forward while respecting one another’s sovereignty and
territorial integrity”. This was a direct reference to China’s latest incursion
in Ladakh. In a clear reference to Pakistan, Modi pointed out, “there is an
effort to bring in bilateral issues into the SCO agenda which is against the spirit
of the SCO charter”. He went on to affirm India’s foreign policy objectives in
the region, “India believes in peace, security and prosperity and has always
opposed terrorism, illegal arms smuggling, drug trafficking and money
laundering”.
Arguably, SCO serves
little purpose as the meetings are a routine and a ritual as a part of
international political drill. If the spirit of solidarity and cooperation were
imbibed by the member countries, there would not be any bilateral conflict
causing enormous material and human costs. SCO, as it goes, is unlikely to
achieve higher level of regional cooperation due to at least four obstacles:
one, it has inherent institutional weaknesses, a crisis of confidence,
conflicting national interest and continuing bilateral problems.
The bleak future of a
grouping like SCO is foretold by the mutual misgivings and mistrust by the
leadership both in Beijing and New Delhi. This was articulated in a virtual Round
Table by a German Progressive Foundation on ‘China and India in the New Asian
Geopolitics’. The two main speakers were; Dr. Hu Shisheng, Director, Institute
of South Asian Studies, China Institutes of Contemporary International
Relations (CICIR), Beijing and Ashok Kantha, Director, Institute of Chinese
Studies (ICS), Delhi and former Ambassador of India to China.
Dr. Hu faulted India
in escalating the border conflict. He said India’s activities on the border
were based on adventurism, opportunism and political correction. He explained
political correction as New Delhi mending its ties with Washington and both
coming closer in the shared desire to check China. In a rebuttal, Ashok Kantha
reminded everyone how the world is experiencing the downside of rise of China
as an economic power. This perspective was backed by Dr. Nil Schmid, Member of
Parliament and Spokesperson of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Germany on
foreign affairs. He suggested that there was a systemic rivalry between China
and the West.
Talking about the
European Union and the United States, Dr. Nil shared the western expectation
that China would politically liberalise as its economy grew with the trade and investment
from the west. But the Chinese leadership chose a different path, and worse,
attempts to export and impose a model which runs counter to concepts of human
rights, liberty, rule of law and democracy in general. He added that they did not have to choose
between US and China. That choice was made 70 years ago when Europe decided to
ally with United States for its commitment to values of democracy.
As the grapevine has
it, India is being invited to the ‘summit of democracies’ proposed by the
American President-elect Joe Biden. New Delhi, of course, would be inclined to
participate in such a summit provided that Biden becomes the President in next
January. However, to conclude, SCO would remain a forum for moralistic
assertions and diplomatic deliberations. It may not serve much purpose. India
will soon find itself an ‘odd man out’, as China and Russia, the major members
of the group. Xi Jinping has elected himself the President for life and Putin
till 2036. India which prides itself as a democracy is obviously in the wrong
tent. Time for a rethink! ----INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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