Round The World
New
Delhi, 31 March 2015
Brussels Denial
COUNTER STRATEGY IN PLACE
By Ashok B
Sharma
Brussels may not be willingly to
oblige India
at the moment by inviting Prime Minister Modi for what would be an EU-India
summit, as it is perturbed over the delay in rendering justice to the two Italian
marines who allegedly shot down two Indian fishermen in the country’s waters.
But France and Germany have
taken a different view and are to welcome him.
Brussels’ denial, however, does
not upset Modi’s calculus. India-EU Broad-based Trade and Investment Agreement
(BTIA) is still under negotiation striving to settle contentious issues
relating to intellectual property rights among others. According to several
trade analysts, watering down of Indian intellectual property regime and data
exclusivity at the behest of the European Union is likely to spell a doom for
the Indian pharma and agro-chemical industry in particular. The terms being
insisted by the European Union are inimical to the dairy sector in the country.
EU wants free access to their subsidized skimmed milk powder and Feta cheese.
At the World Trade Organisation
(WTO), India
and other developing countries have been consistently complaining about highly
subsidized European agriculture and protectionist barriers like high tariff
regime, non-tariff barriers and politically motivated sanitary and
phyto-sanitary measures (SPS). These European initiatives have placed the
farmers, in particular in the Third World
countries at a serious disadvantage, denying them of a level playing field in
the multilateral trade. While keeping their subsidy regime and protectionist
measures intact, the European Union wants easy access of their farm products
and also industrial products such as scrap cars in the Indian market. It also
wants elimination of export tax on raw materials exported to Europe.
The EU has become more protectionist
in trade following the global recession that followed the liquidation of Lehman
Brothers in US in 2008. Again the blow of the sovereign debt crisis made Europe difficult to recover and come back to its
pre-recession growth rate. EU’s involvement in the Ukraine crisis further complicated
the problem. EU had been a major destination for Indian exports which has
experienced considerable shrinkage following recession in Europe.
In such a situation it is unlikely that EU would make any major concessions to
accommodate Indian exports. Rather it would be willing to seek more markets for
its goods.
However, investment in enterprises
is a different ball game altogether. India needs more inflow of foreign
direct investments (FDIs) to facilitate growth. But unfortunately both trade
and investment are clubbed together in BTIA which has made difficult to reach a
final conclusion. Yet there is scope for striking bilateral trade and
investment agreements with several European countries which can be a better
option. Hence it would be better not to harp much on the deal like BTIA with EU
but rather go ahead with inking mutually beneficial agreements with major
European economies like France,
Germany and the UK.
Though in aggregate terms the
countries of the European Union are growing slowly at 1.2 per cent, Germany, UK
and France
have the potentiality to grow faster. Modi is scheduled to visit France and Germany in the second and the third
week of April and is expected to ink several bilateral agreements and seek
investments from these countries. In his first leg of his visit he is scheduled
to meet President Francois Hollande. The purchase of Dassault Aviation’s $12
billion Rafale fighter planes, Multi-crore Maitri surface-to-air missile system
project - SR-SAM project are likely to figure in the talks along with proposals
for strengthening defence cooperation. The two sides are expected to take up
Jaitapur nuclear power project where the two countries are planning
installation of six nuclear power plants in a phased manner.
On 6 December 2010 an agreement was
signed for the construction of first set of two third-generation European
Pressurized Reactors and the supply of nuclear fuel for 25 years in the
presence of the then French president Nicolas Sarkozy and the then Indian Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh. But in this year’s Defence Budget there is very small
space to make big ticket purchase in the pipeline like $12 billion for medium
multirole fighter jets, $1.2 billion for six Airbus A330 tankers, $1.1 billion
for 22 Boeing Apache attack helicopters, $1 billion for 197 light utility
helicopters, $833 million for 15 Boeing Chinook heavy lift helicopters, $600
million for light howitzer guns from BAE Systems, $200 million for 98 Black
Shark torpedoes from WASS, $350 million for 1,418 Israeli-made thermal imaging
sights for T-72 tanks, $250 million for 262 Barak missiles from Israel
Aerospace Industries.
However, with a view to curtail
defence imports, Prime Minister Modi is insisting upon co-designing,
co-production and co-development of defence equipment and platforms in the
country under the ‘Make in India’
initiative. This is the time for him to discuss and finalise such initiatives
with President Hollande. Also Modi may take the advantage of discussing
cooperation in renewable energy and combating climate change ahead of the Paris talks.
As India
is a partner country to Hannover Messe 2015, Modi’s visit to Germany is
likely to centre round urging for more investment flows into the country. Apart
from inaugurating the Hannover Messe along with Chancellor Angela Merkel, he
will also have bilateral discussions with her and other senior leaders. After
the joint `Walk Through’ of selected Indian stalls, both the leaders are
scheduled to attend the inaugural session of Indo-German Business Summit. More
than 300 Indian companies and 100 CEOs of Indian companies are participating in
Hannover Messe. Other than 12 State governments, including Maharashtra, Andhra
Pradesh, Punjab, Gujarat, Rajasthan and UP who will exhibit their profiles in
the State Pavilion adjacent to India’s.
Germany is a leader in renewable
energy and Modi expects to mobilise investments for not only renewable energy,
but also for electronics and electricals, smart cities, Skill India, heavy
industries and motion drive and automation and Digital India. He is also
expected to appeal to the Indian diaspora in France
and Germany.
Modi’s visit will not only be
limited to these two European countries, but it will be Trans-Atlantic covering
Canada
as well. In his scheduled visit in mid-April, he is expected to discuss with
Prime Minister Stephen Harper and interact with the Indian community. It was
Harper who cleared the deal for sale of Canadian uranium to India in 2012
for use in nuclear power plants. Apart from trade and investment issues, talks
are likely to be on combating climate change and cooperation in renewable
energy.
Thus Brussels’
denial to host Modi is not likely to upset Indian strategy, if bilateral
agreements are carefully inked with France,
Germany and Canada. Indian
officials are quite confident of the success of the forthcoming visits.---INFA
(Copyright,
India News and Feature Alliance)
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