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Effective Employment Policy:STRESSING STATE’S RESPONSIBILITY, by T.D. Jagadesan,16 June 2007 Print E-mail

People And Their Problems

New Delhi, 16 June 2007

Effective Employment Policy

STRESSING STATE’S RESPONSIBILITY

By T.D. Jagadesan

The Centre evidently keen on imparting a fillip to employment opportunities to the eligible people. Hence it has wisely launched recently the National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (NREG) in 200 districts covering 23 States. The NREG was notified in February last year thus underlining the importance as well as expediency of securing the livelihood of the people in rural areas by generating 100 days of employment in a financial year to rural household.

There is justifiable jubilation over the eight per cent plus growth that the economy has been recording for over three years and at the same time there is concern that there are significant sections of the population that are yet to benefit from the growth process. The Eleventh Plan document attempts to address this issue squarely.

There is concern that the rate of growth of employment is reported to have slackened, in many segments of the rural economy, during the decade of reforms. The report of the Planning Commission’s Task Force on Employment Opportunities shows an absolute decline in the number employed in agriculture, between 1993-94, and 1999-2000, at the all-India level. Information from 60th NSS round, 2004-05, the Economic Census 2005 and the Annual Survey of Industry indicate the following:

Employment growth accelerated to 2.6 per cent during 1999-2005 outpacing population growth, but the average daily status unemployment rate, which had increased from 6.1 per cent in 1993-94 to 7.3 per cent in 1999-2000, increased further to 8.3 per cent in 2004-05.  This was possibly due to the fact that the working age population grew faster than total population and labour force participation rates increased, particularly among women. The extent of under employment also appears to be on the increase.

Agricultural employments has increased at less than 1 per cent per annum, slower than population and much slower than non-agricultural employment. Also, although real wages of these workers continue to rise, growth has decelerated strongly, almost certainly reflecting the poor performance in agriculture.  There are also transition problems in changing employment patterns, and these are probably being exacerbated by our landholding structures and by barriers of caste and gender.

Non-agricultural employment expanded robustly at an annual rate of 4.7 per cent during 1999-2005 but this growth was entirely in the unorganized sector and mainly in low productivity employment.  Employment in the organized sectors actually declined despite fairly healthy GDP growth.

On the supply side, the document indicates that the during 11th Plan if it grows at the same rate as current projections around 65 million, if female participation rates rise at the pace observed during 1999-2005. Additional employment opportunities in the future would be generated mainly in the services and manufacturing sectors and policy initiatives are needed to support this.

The intention in the Eleventh Plan is to boost, in particular, labour intensive manufacturing sectors such as food processing, leather products, footwear and textiles, and service sectors such as tourism and construction.  Construction sector would generate substantial additional employment.

On the touring front both domestic as well as international, there are large possibilities for employment generation in the hotel, catering, entertainment and travel sectors as well as a market for handlooms and handicrafts.

Sadly, the solutions attempted in the Eleventh Plan document do not address these problems. There are anecdotal reports about severe shortages in skilled labour markets---in IT, tourism, and in skilled blue collar workers for manufacturing as well as for the construction industry. There are tales that textile export manufacturers are scouring the villages near Tirupur in Tamil Nadu for skilled tailors and embroider; that masons command the sky to wages and that ordinary skills are unavailable. Surely it is important to address the problem fro this end.

The Manufacturing Competitiveness Commission has estimated the need for skilled labour in over two dozen different professions, each of which exceeds a quarter million in the next five years. The training levels required to produce these employable are not available. Major IT firms complain that they are able to recruit from only ten per cent of the engineering colleges.

The manufacturing industry reports that the skill sets produced in the ITI are obsolete for the current markets. There is little attempt to infuse technology into agriculture, and even the downstream part of agriculture, storage, marketing and retailing, ahs been left to the private sector. 

The Eleventh Plan document fails to address these issues, and in fact relies heavily on the service sector and the unorganized sector including the construction sector to pick up the slack. Wishful thinking, without any evidence of how this will happen. Ab initio, the target growth of Agriculture of 4 per cent and of the entire economy of double that would leave those in agriculture poorer off at the end of the Plan. If poverty is added to unemployment, then it is likely to be a volatile combination.

In considering options for rural areas, it is important to recognize that short term focused policy of persistently protecting employment in sunset industries and in weaker economic units can go against greater employment with higher labour-productivity in the longer term. Competition restricting policies, including controls to the movement of goods and commodities must end, as they impose arbitrary restrictions on expansion liberalization is the key to making industry competitive.

The responsibility of the state is to ensure that the necessary skill sets are developed. This is easier said than done, since the task is to match market needs with the supply of skills, to reorient curriculum to retain teachers, add capital equipments for training, develop new syllabai, and in short, to revamp the entire supply chain of production of skills.

This is needed to be done in hundred of skills, ranging from it is to nursing, from tourism to hospitality, from ward boys to radiographers.  There is very little evidence in the Plan document of the mammoth task involved, nor of the resources and inter-ministerial efforts that would be needed to make this happen.  If these skill sets are not developed, it is quite conceivable that manufacturing competitiveness may be lost, that instead of making steel in India, corporates attempt to invest capital outside the country, and in fact seek competitive skills elsewhere, at the cost of local employment. ---INFA

(Copyright, India News and Feature Alliance)

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