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Open Forum
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EU-India FTA Ratification:LENGTHY BUT STRATEGIC, By Dr Krzysztof M. Zalewski, 30 May 2026 |
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Spotlight
New Delhi, 30 May
2026
EU-India
FTA Ratification
LENGTHY
BUT STRATEGIC
By Dr
Krzysztof M. Zalewski
(Centre
For Intl Relations, Poland)
Against the backdrop
of major global geopolitical tensions, the European Union and India continue to
move forward with one of their most ambitious economic projects: EU–India Free
Trade Agreement (FTA). Negotiations had formally concluded in January 2026, but
the treaty is still far from entering into force. Legal verification,
translation, ratification, and political approvals are expected to take at
least another year.
The FTA forms part of
a wider strategic framework between both sides. Alongside trade liberalisation,
EU and India have already signed a defence cooperation pact and are negotiating
an investment facilitation treaty. Together, these reflect a broader
geopolitical objective: strengthening strategic cooperation in an increasingly
uncertain international order.
Recall, at EU–India
Summit in Delhi this January, leaders announced successful conclusion of
negotiations, although the full text wasn’t immediately released because it
remained under “legal scrubbing” — process of refining legal language and
ensuring compatibility with regulations on both sides.
The complete text was
eventually published on February 28, 2026. Ironically, the same day witnessed
the outbreak of Persian Gulf conflict following attacks by Israel and US on
Iran. As global attention shifted towards Middle East crisis, the agreement
received little public discussion. Only after regional situation stabilised did
attention return.
Lengthy Ratification
Process
The ratification
process on the European side is expected to be lengthy and politically
sensitive. The agreement must first be translated into all official EU
languages. The European Commission (EC) will then request approval from the
Council of European Union to sign the agreement. All member states must consent
before the signing ceremony can take place.
After signature, the
agreement will move to European Parliament, which can either approve or reject
the text but can’t amend it. If Parliament approves, the matter returns to the
Council of EU for final confirmation.Past experience shows such procedures can
face delays. The EU–Canada trade agreement (CETA), negotiated in 2016, still
awaits full ratification despite provisional implementation. Similarly, the
EU–Mercosur agreement has faced political and legal obstacles.
India’s ratification
process is comparatively simpler. Inter-ministerial consultations are conducted
under Ministry of External Affairs. Once the concerned ministries submit their
assessments, the Cabinet authorises signature of agreement. However, FTA cannot
formally enter into force until EU ratification is completed and both sides
agree on an implementation date.
Optimistically, the
agreement could become operational in early 2027. A more realistic estimate
points to mid or late 2027.The most controversial subject—agriculture—was
excluded from the agreement by mutual consent, as it’s equally problematic for
India. However, it remains unclear whether the agreement might not spark
controversy for other reasons.
Strategic Importance
Beyond Trade
The FTA is only one
pillar of a broader EU–India partnership. Security cooperation and investment
agreements are equally important components of this emerging relationship.At
Oslo recently Prime Minister Modi stressed next priority should be investment
agreement. This demonstrated that both sides increasingly see each other not
merely as trading partners, but as strategic actors in a changing global order.
Main Economic
Provisions
The agreement
contains 20 chapters and numerous annexes dealing with trade in goods,
services, customs procedures, intellectual property, labour mobility, and
regulatory cooperation.Although detailed tariff schedules haven’t yet been
released, EC has stated that tariffs on around 90% of Indian exports to EU will
initially be reduced, eventually reaching 99.3% liberalisation. On Indian side,
tariffs on 86% of imports from EU will initially fall, eventually expanding to
96.6%.
India has agreed to
reduce or eliminate tariffs in several industrial sectors, including:Chemicals,
Cosmetics, Plastics, Automotive parts, Textiles and clothing, Ceramics, Machinery,
Boats and marine
equipment.Tariffs on many products will disappear immediately, while others
will be phased out over periods ranging from five to ten years.
The agreement also
provides tariff reductions for selected European food exports to India,
including olive oil, fruit juices, confectionery, pasta, chocolate, and sheep
meat. Certain products not significantly produced in India, such as kiwi fruit
and pears, will receive duty-free quotas.
One of the most
significant sectors covered by FTA is automobiles. India has historically
imposed tariffs of up to 110% on imported European vehicles. Under agreement,
tariffs will gradually decline to 10% over five to seven years for a quota of
250,000 vehicles annually. Equally
important is reduction of tariffs on automotive components. This is expected to
encourage European manufacturers to expand production within India itself,
integrating the country more deeply into global supply chains.
Simplifying Trade
Procedures
Beyond tariffs,
measures are introduced aimed at reducing bureaucracy and facilitating business
operations.Customs procedures will be simplified through among faster clearance
for low-risk and perishable goods;reduced documentation, online publication of
rules, creation of digital “single window” systems for documentation and
certification, establishing category of “Authorised Economic Operators”, granting
trusted exporters and importers access to faster and simpler procedures.
Special emphasis is
placed on SMEs, which form majority of businesses involved in EU–India trade.
Dedicated contact points and simplified rules of origin are intended to help
participate more effectively.The simplified certification system is also
designed to prevent third-country products, especially Chinese goods, from
being falsely labelled as Indian exports.Trade in services will also be
liberalised in accordance with WTO principles and previous EU agreements.
However, one major
European objective remained unresolved. The EU sought broader access for
European firms to participate in Indian government procurement tenders. New
Delhi resisted, and the final agreement contains only limited transparency
provisions without guaranteeing open tendering or equal treatment standards as sought.
Climate and Carbon
Issues
One of the most
contentious topics during negotiations concerned EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment
Mechanism (CBAM), which entered into force on January 1, 2026 and imposes
additional charges on imports produced through carbon-intensive processes,
particularly affecting sectors such as steel and heavy manufacturing. India
requested exemptions or transitional relief for Indian exporters, but EU rejected,
arguing that CBAM is a core element of European climate policy and cannot be
weakened for individual partners.It is likely to remain a long-term source of
friction between both sides.
Intellectual Property
& Labour Mobility
The FTA contains
detailed provisions on intellectual property rights, including protections for
trademarks, copyrights, industrial designs, and trade secrets. It strengthens
judicial and administrative enforcement mechanisms, introduces civil and criminal
penalties for violations, and permits confiscation and destruction of
counterfeit goods.
Labour mobility, a
major Indian priority, also received attention. Although visa policy remains
under authority of individual EU member states, negotiators introduced several
facilitative measures connected to trade in services.These include:Easier
short-term business visas;Faster visa processing;Quicker notification
procedures;Simplified movement for intra-corporate transferees.
Geopolitical
Implications
The broader
significance of FTA extends well beyond trade. The EU and India increasingly
share concerns regarding global supply chains, strategic autonomy,
technological competition, and need to diversify international
partnerships.Although differences remain, especially regarding relations with
Russia, these disagreements are not currently preventing closer cooperation.
In Europe, public
discussion of FTA remains limited, though controversy could emerge once
specific industries identify sectors vulnerable to competition. In India,
however, exporters and business groups are showing strong interest in possible opportunities.
The intended
objective is clear: to deepen economic interdependence and strategic
cooperation between two major democratic actors navigating an increasingly
fragmented international system.If FTA, defence cooperation framework, and
investment agreement are all successfully implemented, EU–India relationship
could evolve into one of the most important
strategic partnerships in the emerging multipolar world.---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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EMERGENCE OF YOUTH POWER, By Inder Jit, 28 May 2026 |
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REWIND
New Delhi, 28 May 2026
EMERGENCE
OF YOUTH POWER
By Inder
Jit
(Released
on 30 November 1976)
Every
Congress’ session is usually described as historic. Yet if there was one in
recent years which was truly historic it was the session that concluded on
Tuesday last in Gauhati. Indeed, a week after the curtain came down on the
colourful and memorable meet, it appears no less significant than it did at Jawahar
Nagar on November 22 – especially on three counts. First, it saw India’s
hitherto dormant youth power and, more specifically, the Youth Congress and its
leader, Mr Sanjay Gandhi, not only “steal the thunder of the AICC” in the words
of the Prime Minister but emerge as a major factor in Indian politics. Second,
the Communist Party, which has been enjoying for the past seven years an
influence in national affairs disproportionate to its intrinsic strength, was
virtually cut down to size and told for the first time in so many words where
it got off. Third, it saw Assam and the six neighbouring States in the
sensitive and strategic north-east area open a new and welcome chapter in
regional integration, burying the troubled, suspicion ridden past.
At the
Chandigarh Congress, as I wrote on January 6 last, Mr Sanjay Gandhi made “an
impressive debut” on the political stage and “infused the Youth Congress with a
new sense of involvement and adventure.” Komagatu Maru Nagar, moreover, saw Mr.
Sanjay Gandhi and Mrs. Ambika Soni, the dynamic President of the Youth
Congress, hold out promise of blazing a new trail. Both proved as good their
word and the Indian Youth Congress show at Jawahar Nagar turned out to be one
better than even their highly impressive meet at Pragati Maidan in New Delhi on
August 9 last. For one thing, the attendance at the conference was
unprecedented a record: number of 13,000 delegates from all over India,
including a thousand women, as against the target of 10,000 delegates,
notwithstanding the long travel and inconvenience involved. More important, the
enthusiasm and inspiration of those who attended had to be seen to be believed.
The session itself was largely businesslike with Mr Sanjay Gandhi and Mrs Soni,
who again impressed all by her powerful oratory and superb chairing of the
conference, setting the pace by speaking briefly and effectively.
Acknowledgement
of the success of the Youth conference came not only from the Prime Minister but
from several Chief Ministers and Central Ministers. Of particular significance
was the compliment paid by the Prime Minister when she said “After attending
your convention at Pragati Maidan and after seeing you function here, I am
fully assured that India’s future is safe in the hands of our youth.” In fact,
she was happy that India’s youth was again astir and had understood, and
accepted its due responsibility. “India’s problems are now your” she said and
added: “Remember, what happens hereafter is not my "bhavishya but aap ka bhavishya. You must go ahead with courage.”
Earlier, four Chief Ministers complimented the Youth Congress, lauded Mr Sanjay
Gandhi’s result-oriented leadership and explained what each had done to
implement the five-point programme. Giani Zail Singh, who described Mr Gandhi
as a great national leader (“desh ke mahaan neta”), drew loud applause
as he advocated greater association of youth and, in support, quoted Guru
Nanak's saying: "Aap ditta so doodh
baraber...” (What you, give on your own is milk!)
Apart from
expressing her confidence in the youth, Mrs Gandhi made two other significant
points. First, she gave a new import and dimension to Mr Sanjay Gandhi’s
five-point programme. She clarified that this programme was more fundamental
than the 20-point programme and that, in fact, the success of her own programme
depended upon the success of the Five-point programme, which provided the
foundation for the super-structure. In other words, the mathematical equation
was meaningfully changed from 20 +5 to 5+ 20! Second, she also took care to set
the record straight for such of the CPI and other lenders who extended their
support to the 20-point programme but refused to take notice of the five-point
programme on the ground that they could not be expected to support a programme
put forward by “a private individual”. Mrs Gandhi said the Congress party had
all along stood for the programmes outlined in the five-point plan. Now these
had been strung together and projected pointedly to ensure affective implementation.
Had the programme been taken up in its present form and thrust twenty years
ago, “we would have had today an altogether new and better picture of India.”
The CPI
has of late been at its old and familiar game of publicly and repeatedly
drawing a distinction between Congressmen and Congressmen. It has also been labeling
a section of Congressmen as “a reactionary caucus” within the ruling party and
alleged that it was trying to destabilize several State Governments. The CPI
General Secretary, Mr Rajeshwar Rao, has advisedly desisted from naming the
persons constituting the alleged caucus. But who the CPI has in mind is pretty
well known. Mrs. Gandhi also took care of this without naming the CPI and in the
bargain gave the party its worst-ever drubbing and, what is more, sought to end
what Congressmen have been silently but increasingly resenting for long: CPI’s “dominance
over Congressmen and policies”. She said the Congress would not tolerate interference
by any other party in its internal affairs about what it should do or should
not do and what steps it should take or not take in one State or another. Their
offer “of cooperation to Indira Gandhi” while opposing others in the Congress
was meaningless, she said and, raising her voice, added: “This is not acceptable
to me at all.”
The CPI
also came under implied attack from Mr Sanjay Gandhi. He, too, preferred not to
name the CPI in the course of his brief speech. But no one was left in doubt
that the reference was to the CPI. Some parties which called themselves socialists,
he said, were trying to run down the Youth Congress by arguing that it had no
political programme and what it was promoting was merely a social programme.
This, he added, was a strange argument especially coming as it did from parties
which claimed to be socialist. The Youth Congress was not interested in their kind
of politics which comprised burning buses, stopping trains and indulging in
violence. The Youth Congress stood for serving the poor people and considered
this to be the only healthy socialist programme. Mr Sanjay Gandhi, however, has
hastened to clarify for the benefit of the fraternal delegates, including those
from the Soviet Union and East Europe, that the IYC was neither pro this
country nor pro that but was only pro-India. His subsequent reference to bhải bandi with those who had helped
India in times of need and had cooperated with it at the UN drew a meaningful
applause.
Jawahar
Nagar”also provided a glimpse into the style and outlook of Mr. Sanjay Gandhi,
who attracted the spotlight only next to the Prime Minister and was invariably
the most popular draw in Gauhati from the moment he alighted by a scheduled
flight at the airport. First and foremost, he wants politics to become
work-oriented and not remain power-oriented. As he told the Congress-affiliated
NSUI, presided over by energetic Miss Githanjali Sharma, they could have easily
come forward with many more points. But he was not interested in mere paper
resolutions. Second, his outlook does not appear to be authoritarian, as is
sought to be made out by his detractors. He complimented Mrs. Soni and the
Youth Congress for setting up 6,000 block committees ahead of the schedule
announced at Chandigarh. However, he pointed out that these had been appointed
and not elected. He then suggested that the IYC should set itself a target of
having duly elected block committees during the next year adding: “It is easy
to banao and udao from above and carry on mage
se. But if those committees are to enjoy prestige and respect, we must have
chunao. Then only these will be good,
strong and effective.”
Some
excitement was caused when the Youth Congress leaders fired three broadsides at
the “old Congress”. Mrs Ambika Soni initially complained that senior
Congressmen were spurning ÏYC’s cooperation in implementing the 20-point
programme and were even obstructing the Youth Congress in its work for fear
that their chairs would be threatened. Subsequently, Mr Sanjay Gandhi said: “In
Chandigarh, the Congress met in a big way and we as a small cell. Now we are
meeting in a big way and the Congress as a cell. This is so because we have
implemented what we had promised at Chandigarh. The Congress talked of making
1976 the year of the organisation and yet what has been done?” Finally, when Mr
Borooah came to address the IYC session in the afternoon, Mrs Soni reminded the
Congress President of his promise at the AICC in June last that the Youth
Congress would be fully associated with the implementation of the 20-point
programme. But, she added, the promise had not been kept.
Mr Borooah
tactfully sought to assuage the IYC feelings by addressing them as “esteemed
colleagues of the Youth Congress”. He also humoured them in the course of his
speech analysing historically, like a learned leader that he is, the recent developments.
There had been a “qualitative change” in politics since the Emergency, he said,
and this change wan summarised in the IYC slogan: “Talk less, work more.” (Two
days later, Mr Borooah, who described himself as “a temporary President”, asserted
at the AICC meeting that the Congress, too, had implemented its Chandigarh resolve:
five lakh seva dal workers had been recruited of which three lakhs had been
trained and were in uniform; by the end of 1976 another three lakh workers
would be trained, bringing the total to six lakhs. Mr Borooah’s remarks at the
youth meet manifestly assuaged feelings but what really helped was Mrs Gendhi’s
own bouquets to the IYC and her firm view that there was need for active
cooperation between the Congress and the Youth Congress. Finally, Mrs Soni
briefly intervened at the AICC meeting to clarify that the IYC was a part of
the parent organisation and that there was no question of any parallalism.
Nevertheless,
steps will need to be taken from now onwards to prevent any sense of rivalry emerging
between the two at some stage. This will be necessary all the more in view of
the outlook stimulated among some Youth Congressmen by the success of the
Gauhati meet. At any rate, immediate action is required to remove the
grievances of the Youth Congress against senior partymen about cooperation.
Simultaneously, IYC leadership will need to ensure that even as they
individually screen their membership of about 5 million, as suggested by Mrs Gandhi,
members of the Youth Congress do not in their zeal start throwing their weight
about. The Youth Congress has the required vigour and vitality -- and new ideas. But, in the final analysis,
youth and experience are complimentary and have to function together in the best
national interest.
While the
arrangements made by the Reception Committee, which was headed by Mr Hokisho Sema
and included Assam’s Chief Minister, Mr Sarat Sinha, who understandably had to
carry the main burden, were excellent within its many limitations, almost all
prominent Congressmen and Youth leaders I met at Jawahar Nagar were agreed that
time had come to change the style and method of future AICC meetings. In fact,
Mrs Gandhi herself said that efforts needed to be made to make the meetings
more businesslike. True, as Mrs Gandhi emphasized, the Congress has been a movement,
is a movement and must continue to be a movement. Nonetheless, the Congress has
to think in terms of encouraging greater involvement of its AICC members in the
formulation and execution of its policies. Mr Sanjay Gandhi and the Youth Congress
have already helped to set a now tone by emphasizing the mood to talk less and
work more. Will they now blaze another trail to ensure effective implementation
of various programmes?---INFA.
(Copyright, India News and Feature Alliance)
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Quad’s Delhi Drift: RUBIO CAME TO SALVAGE OR TOUR?, By Dr. D.K. Giri, 29 May 2026 |
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Round
The World
New
Delhi, 29 May 2026
Quad’s Delhi Drift
RUBIO CAME TO SALVAGE
OR TOUR?
By Dr. D.K. Giri
(Prof. International
Relations, JIMMC)
When
US Secretary of State, Mark Rubio landed in Delhi last week, the atmospherics
were impeccable. The motorcade signalling the big power, the Hyderabad House
lunch, the inspired visit to Missionaries of Charity with his wife Jeanatte –
all choreographed to indicate that India-US ties were back on track. But the
observations and inferences pointed to the contrary. The question raised is
whether Rubio was here to salvage a fraying bilateral relationship or was this
a well-timed diplomatic holiday before a multilateral event in Delhi.
The
multilateral event in reference here is the Quad Foreign Ministers’ conference.
As the dust settled after the conference, New Delhi was left with more
questions. For India, the answers matter because the Quad itself now looks
adrift. India’s approach to Quad has moved the full circle. New Delhi was
apologetic about Quad suggesting it as a networking platform for developmental
purpose whereas it was purely a security arrangement to contain China in India
Pacific. Now, America, which was largely responsible for creating Quad, is
moving away from multilateral engagement by bilaterally making up with China. There
could be more than what meets the eye. But we can only go by what is in the
public domain.
Rubio’s
visit was primarily commercial. With President Trump’s “America First” agenda
back in force, Washington’s view of India has boiled down to single metric,
market access. The State Department’s talking points were blunt. India is being
asked to import 500b USD worth of American goods over the next five years, from
LNG to defence equipments to apples and almonds.
Rubio
played a salesman-in-chief with skill. He used every forum to push the trade task,
framing it as a win-win with India that would cut her dependence on China and
Russia. But the subtext was clear to all discerning observers. That is, tariffs
are off the table only when the cash register reigns. The irony is hard to
miss.
The
Quad was created as a value-based coalition of democracy. But in Trump-Rubio
era, it is being used as a buyers’ club. America-India ties were strategic
vis-à-vis countering China, now are more transactional. Partnership in defence
is deepening but that may also have a trade angle as the volume of cash is
highest in this sector.
Unarguably,
Quad was the real casualty of Rubio’s visit. The Foreign Ministers of India, the
US, Japan and Australia met in New Delhi with one agenda, announced a date for
the Leaders’ Summit which has not been held since 2024. After Trump’s trade
tirade against India which derailed the Summit last year, New Delhi made a
renewed diplomatic push to host it in 2026, fearing that grouping would
otherwise slide into geo-political irrelevance.
What
happened instead was telling. The Ministers concluded the meeting in just over
an hour with no Summit date, no joint press conference, just a bland statement
on maritime domain awareness and critical technology. Clearly, without the
political weight of a Leaders’ Summit, the Quad is reduced to a talk shop of
bureaucrats. Trump’s invitation to Modi signals theunlikelihood of his visit to
India this year.
India
will pass on the baton to Australia for the next Summit. But the damage is
done. In absence of Leaders’ Summit, Quad loses both purpose and the punch. Worse,
Trump’s reaching out to Beijing suggests that countering China is no longer the
lodestar. If Washington is making up to Beijing while squeezing New Delhi on
Pakistan and trade, what exactly is the Quad containing?
If
the trade was high on agenda, human rights were not, contrary to the
expectation of many Indians especially Christians. Rubio, a practicing
Catholic, who was built his political brand on religious freedom, chose not to
raise the issue of Christian persecution with the Government of India.
Therefore, his visit to the Missionaries of Charity was heavy on symbolism and
light on substance. There was no press statement, no demarche, no allusion to
the churches vandalised, or the anti-conversion laws proliferating across
states.
Indian
Christian community saw it all in despair. For years, they have looked upto
successive US governments as moral counterweight. Rubio’s silence was therefore
not neutral, it was a statement. It revealed to minorities in India that in the
new hierarchy of US interests 500b USD in exports outranks Article 25 of the
Indian Constitution. It also told New Delhi that the Trump administration will
not allow values to override deals. To America, it may be realpolitik, but it
undermines its image as defender of freedom and human rights.
Rubio’s
ambivalence on Pakistan reflected old patronage with new excuses.Asked
repeatedly about continued US military aid and F-16 sustenance package to
Pakistan, Rubio gave the standard Washington straddle: “We have relationships
with both countries”. He also said that India-Pakistan relations are of their
own kind. He condemned terrorism in general but refused to call out Pakistan
unlike in the past. For a Secretary of State, who had called China, “the
greatest threat of our time”, such hedging on Pakistan left a bad taste in the
mouth.
New
Delhi’s concern on America-Pakistan relation is not abstract. Every time
Islamabad gets aid from United States, the fallout is seen in Kashmir through
Indians’ blood. Rubio’s ambivalence signalled that Trump 2.0 will revere to the
old American style: use Pakistan when needed and placate India when necessary. Indians
will continue to ask if Washington does not stand with us on Pakistan, why we
shouldstand with Washington on China. New Delhi should raise this concern
strongly with Washington. Trump likes to strike deals, why is Modi not offering
him deals on China, on Pakistan, on Russia and others.
From
Rubio’s four-day visit to India culminating in Quad Ministers’ Conference, the most
uncomfortable question emerges: What was Rubio really doing in India? The
official schedule was thin, the deliverables were thinner. Mrs. Rubio
accompanying the Secretary of State in the visits to cultural sites gave the
trip a tourist tick flavour. For a Foreign Minister of the United States, the
biggest power in the world, to mix diplomacy with what looks like a family
holiday, would be unseemly at any point of time. More so, when Quad needs
resuscitation, it borders on the cavalier.
Great
powers are judged by how seriously they take their partners. When a top US
diplomat comes for one day of meetings and two days of optics, it lends a
message of disengagement not repair. From Rubio’s visit and the Quad
conference, India must draw three conclusions. Bipartisan consensus on India in
Washington is tearing up. Second, the Quad’s strategic importance cannot be
taken for granted. If the US is distant from Quad, India could explore other
options. Third, India on chair seems to be the most stable leg of the Quad
table. So, if New Delhi dies not lead, no one will.
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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Quad’s Delhi Drift: RUBIO CAME TO SALVAGE OR TOUR?, By Dr. D.K. Giri, 29 May 2026 |
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Round
The World
New
Delhi, 29 May 2026
Quad’s Delhi Drift
RUBIO CAME TO SALVAGE
OR TOUR?
By Dr. D.K. Giri
(Prof. International
Relations, JIMMC)
When
US Secretary of State, Mark Rubio landed in Delhi last week, the atmospherics
were impeccable. The motorcade signalling the big power, the Hyderabad House
lunch, the inspired visit to Missionaries of Charity with his wife Jeanatte –
all choreographed to indicate that India-US ties were back on track. But the
observations and inferences pointed to the contrary. The question raised is
whether Rubio was here to salvage a fraying bilateral relationship or was this
a well-timed diplomatic holiday before a multilateral event in Delhi.
The
multilateral event in reference here is the Quad Foreign Ministers’ conference.
As the dust settled after the conference, New Delhi was left with more
questions. For India, the answers matter because the Quad itself now looks
adrift. India’s approach to Quad has moved the full circle. New Delhi was
apologetic about Quad suggesting it as a networking platform for developmental
purpose whereas it was purely a security arrangement to contain China in India
Pacific. Now, America, which was largely responsible for creating Quad, is
moving away from multilateral engagement by bilaterally making up with China. There
could be more than what meets the eye. But we can only go by what is in the
public domain.
Rubio’s
visit was primarily commercial. With President Trump’s “America First” agenda
back in force, Washington’s view of India has boiled down to single metric,
market access. The State Department’s talking points were blunt. India is being
asked to import 500b USD worth of American goods over the next five years, from
LNG to defence equipments to apples and almonds.
Rubio
played a salesman-in-chief with skill. He used every forum to push the trade task,
framing it as a win-win with India that would cut her dependence on China and
Russia. But the subtext was clear to all discerning observers. That is, tariffs
are off the table only when the cash register reigns. The irony is hard to
miss.
The
Quad was created as a value-based coalition of democracy. But in Trump-Rubio
era, it is being used as a buyers’ club. America-India ties were strategic
vis-à-vis countering China, now are more transactional. Partnership in defence
is deepening but that may also have a trade angle as the volume of cash is
highest in this sector.
Unarguably,
Quad was the real casualty of Rubio’s visit. The Foreign Ministers of India, the
US, Japan and Australia met in New Delhi with one agenda, announced a date for
the Leaders’ Summit which has not been held since 2024. After Trump’s trade
tirade against India which derailed the Summit last year, New Delhi made a
renewed diplomatic push to host it in 2026, fearing that grouping would
otherwise slide into geo-political irrelevance.
What
happened instead was telling. The Ministers concluded the meeting in just over
an hour with no Summit date, no joint press conference, just a bland statement
on maritime domain awareness and critical technology. Clearly, without the
political weight of a Leaders’ Summit, the Quad is reduced to a talk shop of
bureaucrats. Trump’s invitation to Modi signals theunlikelihood of his visit to
India this year.
India
will pass on the baton to Australia for the next Summit. But the damage is
done. In absence of Leaders’ Summit, Quad loses both purpose and the punch. Worse,
Trump’s reaching out to Beijing suggests that countering China is no longer the
lodestar. If Washington is making up to Beijing while squeezing New Delhi on
Pakistan and trade, what exactly is the Quad containing?
If
the trade was high on agenda, human rights were not, contrary to the
expectation of many Indians especially Christians. Rubio, a practicing
Catholic, who was built his political brand on religious freedom, chose not to
raise the issue of Christian persecution with the Government of India.
Therefore, his visit to the Missionaries of Charity was heavy on symbolism and
light on substance. There was no press statement, no demarche, no allusion to
the churches vandalised, or the anti-conversion laws proliferating across
states.
Indian
Christian community saw it all in despair. For years, they have looked upto
successive US governments as moral counterweight. Rubio’s silence was therefore
not neutral, it was a statement. It revealed to minorities in India that in the
new hierarchy of US interests 500b USD in exports outranks Article 25 of the
Indian Constitution. It also told New Delhi that the Trump administration will
not allow values to override deals. To America, it may be realpolitik, but it
undermines its image as defender of freedom and human rights.
Rubio’s
ambivalence on Pakistan reflected old patronage with new excuses.Asked
repeatedly about continued US military aid and F-16 sustenance package to
Pakistan, Rubio gave the standard Washington straddle: “We have relationships
with both countries”. He also said that India-Pakistan relations are of their
own kind. He condemned terrorism in general but refused to call out Pakistan
unlike in the past. For a Secretary of State, who had called China, “the
greatest threat of our time”, such hedging on Pakistan left a bad taste in the
mouth.
New
Delhi’s concern on America-Pakistan relation is not abstract. Every time
Islamabad gets aid from United States, the fallout is seen in Kashmir through
Indians’ blood. Rubio’s ambivalence signalled that Trump 2.0 will revere to the
old American style: use Pakistan when needed and placate India when necessary. Indians
will continue to ask if Washington does not stand with us on Pakistan, why we
shouldstand with Washington on China. New Delhi should raise this concern
strongly with Washington. Trump likes to strike deals, why is Modi not offering
him deals on China, on Pakistan, on Russia and others.
From
Rubio’s four-day visit to India culminating in Quad Ministers’ Conference, the most
uncomfortable question emerges: What was Rubio really doing in India? The
official schedule was thin, the deliverables were thinner. Mrs. Rubio
accompanying the Secretary of State in the visits to cultural sites gave the
trip a tourist tick flavour. For a Foreign Minister of the United States, the
biggest power in the world, to mix diplomacy with what looks like a family
holiday, would be unseemly at any point of time. More so, when Quad needs
resuscitation, it borders on the cavalier.
Great
powers are judged by how seriously they take their partners. When a top US
diplomat comes for one day of meetings and two days of optics, it lends a
message of disengagement not repair. From Rubio’s visit and the Quad
conference, India must draw three conclusions. Bipartisan consensus on India in
Washington is tearing up. Second, the Quad’s strategic importance cannot be
taken for granted. If the US is distant from Quad, India could explore other
options. Third, India on chair seems to be the most stable leg of the Quad
table. So, if New Delhi dies not lead, no one will.
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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Severe Heat Wave: CONTROLLING SYSTEMS VITAL, By Dhurjati Mukherjee, 27 May 2026 |
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Open
Forum
New
Delhi, 27 May 2026
Severe Heat Wave
CONTROLLING SYSTEMS
VITAL
By Dhurjati Mukherjee
The latest India Meteorological Department bulletin
shows scorching maximum temperatures across north-west, west central and
adjoining eastern and north-peninsular India with the highest recorded in Uttar
Pradesh, Delhi, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and some parts of Rajasthan, all
of which remains under heatwave to severe heatwave conditions. As per latest
reports all 50 of the world’s hottest cities are in India as a brutal heatwave
tightened its grip, pushing temperatures well above 40 degrees Celsius,
sometimes even before noon.
What makes the heat unbearable is the ‘real
feel’ temperature which is 10 degrees higher. The external conditions are being
driven by persistent dry north-westerly winds, clear skies and few pre-monsoon reliefs,
across large parts of Gangetic plains.
The burden of this heatwave is obviously
highest in densely populated low-income neighbourhoods with poor ventilation,
limited tree cover and inadequate access to cooling mechanisms. While cities
are the hotbeds of pollution and heat due to increasing activity and business,
rural India faces an equally severe challenge. Prolonged direct exposure to
heat for those working in the fields and doing outdoor work, which is quite
common in villages, affects poor people quite gravely. Moreover, limited access
to cooling infra and minimal institutional support add to the problem.
Unlike urban populations, the rural populace
remains exposed to high temperatures for most part of the day. Managing heat
stress in the country needs spatial planning backed by geospatial technologies
that can identify and quantify local heat sources across both urban and rural
regions. While in metros and big cities, urban forestry is the need of the hour,
unfortunately, the congestion has been increasing at a very fast pace.
Similarly in rural areas, more tree shades are necessary. Hospitals in several
states reported rising cases of dehydration, heat exhaustion and sunstroke,
specially among outdoor workers and the elderly.
Experts rightly believe that India urgently
needs a dedicated research programme on heat risk, supported by stronger
space-borne and ground observations, including smart sensor networks and
continuous monitoring of air and wet bulb temperatures. Restoring nature,
reducing use of chemical fertilisers and preventing land degradation may have
some environmental impact in rural areas while in big cities, it is necessary
to control vehicular pollution and ensure more open spaces are made available
in congested areas.
There is an urgent need to take preventive
action for unless this is done, heat waves cannot be controlled in the coming
years. This is all the more necessary as the poor are likely to be affected severely
as well as those from the lower echelons of society who are engaged in outdoor
work.
A recent study in Nature Communications aptly
pointed out that cities, specially poorer and hotter ones, can and should do
more to increase tree cover. But due to limitations in availability of water,
land and proper species, combined with worsening climate change, at most they
could reduce urban heating by 15 to 20 per cent.
While decongesting cities may not be a
possible alternative, what is happening is that there is expansion of these
places to accommodate the huge population inflow. As a result, the bigger
cities in the country are becoming more polluted and dirtier. India may have
taken the term ‘dirty rich’ literally as our cities’ growth remains tied to
polluting fossil fuel use and consequent pollution. However, China and several
other nations have pulled ahead on cleaner urbanisation, according to a study
in Nature Cities. Researchers analysed 5435 cities worldwide between 2029 and
2024 using satellite-based nitrogen dioxide NO2 and GDP estimates.
If the 390 cities classified as ‘dirtier and
richer’, where economic growth coincided with rising pollution or 138 or nearly
35.4 per cent were in India. Mumbai and Kolkata showed cleaner growth trends,
the study stated many Indian urban centres continue to depend heavily on
fossil-fuel intensive industries and transport. The researchers used satellite
observations of NO2, a pollutant strongly associated with fossil
fuel combustion from transport, industries and thermal power generation to
classify urban centres into four categories – ‘cleaner and richer’, ‘dirtier
and richer’, ‘cleaner and poorer’ and ‘dirtier and poorer’.
India also dominated the study’s ‘dirtier and
richer’ category described by researchers as cities where GDP per capita rises
alongside increasing pollution. Of the 390 cities worldwide in this category,
35.4 per cent were in India, the highest share for any country. This
reflects the fact that while the richer sections have facilities to counter the
heat, the lower echelons oof society, which includes the low-income groups and
even the lower middle class, have to bear the brunt of heat.
In backdrop of the problems of increasing
heat due to climate change, it has been found that under a high-end emissions
scenario could lead to a 16.9 per cent loss in GDP by 2070 across Asia and the
Pacific region with India projected to suffer a 24.7 per cent GDP loss,
according to a report titled ‘Asia-Pacific Climate Report’. Rising sea levels
and decreasing labour productivity would drive the most significant losses with
lower income and fragile economies being hit the hardest. If the climate crisis
continued to accelerate, up to 200 million people in the region could be at
risk from coastal inundation and trillions of dollars’ worth of coastal assets
could face annual damage by 2070.
“Climate change has supercharged the
devastation from tropical storms, heat waves and floods in the region,
contributing to unprecedented economic challenges and human suffering”,
according to the ADB. The report said that developing Asia has accounted for
most of the increase in global greenhouse gas emissions since 2000. It further
stated that “the region’s share of global emissions rose from 20.4 per cent in
2000 to 45.0 per cent in 2021. Emissions from Asia continue to rise, driven
primarily in China, which contributed about 30 per cent of global emissions in
2021”.
Keeping in view the need for an all-round
strategy to counter heat, several factors need to be considered which includes
controlling emissions – bath vehicular and industrial -- and ensuring a clean
and congenial atmosphere, specially for children and the elderly. As pointed
out by several experts, more open space must be created which can be done by
dismantling unauthorised settlements and roadside shops and relocating these
people to some other place and keeping the city pollution-free. It goes without
saying that more trees need to be planted in residential colonies to keep the
place cool.---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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