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Open Forum
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The Great Miscommunication: TRIGGERS STUNNING LOSSES, By Shivaji Sarkar, 16 March 2026 |
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Economic Highlights
New Delhi, 16 March
2026
The Great
Miscommunication
TRIGGERS
STUNNING LOSSES
By Shivaji
Sarkar
It’s about
miscommunication and unfathomed losses. Never has the Gulf wars jolted India so
hard.
India’s recent
anxiety over a supposed petroleum and LPG “shortage” is less a story of actual
scarcity and more a case study in poor official communication. There may well
be supply pressures in parts of the system, but the situation was far from a
nationwide crisis. Communication builds trust. Yet an ill-timed advisory
reportedly restricting LPG supplies to industrial and commercial users
triggered widespread panic.
Restaurants, roadside
eateries, school canteens, Ayodhya temple prasad and small kitchens suddenly
feared shutdowns. The warning travelled faster than the clarification. Hoarding
began, black-market prices surfaced and parts of the hospitality sector faced
disruption. It is estimated to cause a loss of Rs 1200-1300 crore a day to
restaurateurs alone.
It’s further
accentuated. Iran denies reports that it opened the Strait of Hormuz
exclusively for Indian oil tankers, a speculation that followed External Affairs
Minister S Jaishankar’s talks with Iran foreign minister Abbas Araghchi. About
28 Indian ships and 778 Indian sailors are stuck in the Strait.Is it a new
“message” to the neighbour, India?
Since 1914, most wars
affecting Asia have been driven by Euro-American power rivalries, and the
present conflict carries similar overtones. Yet Asian nations, including Iran
and Afghanistan, are unlikely to remain passive.At this juncture India has to
be observant and call the shots for Asia.Communication is the key. Whosoever
masters it may lead the world. The reckoning for Asia has arrived.
For India, this is a
moment to act with clarity and leadership. Communication will shape outcomes.
Energy disruptions are already hurting industries and eateries, revealing
excessive dependence on petroleum. Poor messaging has worsened the situation,
turning a manageable strain into a deeper economic anxiety costing billions.
Hits Logistics
Communication
failures can inflict real economic damage. Supply chains run not only on fuel
and inventory but also on confidence. A rumour of shortage can stall logistics
faster than an actual disruption. When businesses fear that cylinders may not
arrive tomorrow, they curtail operations today. In that sense, a poorly framed
message can create the very crisis it seeks to prevent.Pre-war LPG bookings
were 55.7 lakhs. Current bookings 75.7 lakh.
Financial markets
understand this instinctively. They react to signals, expectations and
credibility. A careless statement by a regulator or corporate leader can wipe
out billions within minutes. Investors watch not just data but tone, clarity
and reliability—hence the extreme caution in market-sensitive communication. Misstatements
can trigger swift and costly reactions.
The country may never
know the economic loss caused by the recent “gassing” of fuel communication.
Yet chaos was evident. Some LPG distributors quoted sharply higher prices,
others withheld cylinders below certain rates, and black-market premiums
appeared almost overnight.
To make matters worse
authorities warned commercial establishments and eating jaunts of punitive action
against ‘unauthorised’ use of cylinders. The enforcement uses this as an avsar (opportunity), in apada(distress-rent-seeking)
and harassment.Protests and panic soon spilled into public spaces, aggravating
law and order pressures beyond fuel markets.
Investors also sensed
policy confusion. The stock market has struggled to maintain sustained positive
trading momentum since the beginning of the year, reflecting broader economic
anxieties and uncertainty about energy security.
No Q - Shooting the
Messenger
Communication
missteps can magnify the problem further when officials appear to blame the
messenger. At one point, a senior communicator reportedly advised the media not
to “create panic”. The remark overlooked the fundamental role of the press.Journalism
reports facts and ground realities, not calm or panic. When people see queues
or hear traders speak of shortages, the media will report it. Asking the press
to stay silent rarely restores confidence; it deepens suspicion.
Credibility is
central to governance. When those in authority appear evasive, the trust
deficit widens rapidly. The situation worsened when an official addressing the
media on March 11 regarding LPG availability began with the remark: “No
questions, please.” Preventing questions defeats the very purpose of
communication. The result was predictable — more speculation, more rumours and
a further erosion of credibility.
Contrast with US
The contrast with
other global political figures is instructive. Even controversial leaders often
understand the importance of constant engagement with the press. The US
President Donald Trump is frequently facing aggressive questioning from
reporters. His answers were sometimes combative or nuanced, but the interaction
itself signalled openness. International media outlets, including the BBC,
reported these exchanges in detail, ensuring that markets and citizens heard
the government’s version directly.
Financial markets
respond instantly to such signals. During a period of geopolitical tension in West
Asia, crude oil prices briefly surged toward $120 per barrel. But Trump’s
comments suggesting a de-escalation helped calm traders, bringing prices closer
to $90. Whether one agreed with the politics or not, the communication itself
influenced market sentiment.
Critical moments
require careful communication. India’s “no-questions” moment did the opposite,
weakening official assurances as the messenger lacked credibility. What the
petroleum ministry meant as a call to boost LPG production instead signalled
shortage and restrictive controls—ironically echoing the very “socialistic”
measures the present dispensation criticises.
The problem is not
policy alone but messaging. A habit of blunt, poorly framed statements has
turned a manageable situation into unnecessary confusion, pushing markets and
citizens toward panic rather than reassurance.Complicating matters were reports
that a major supplier like Qatar had disrupted or slowed LPG flows. Without
clear explanations, rumours multiplied — including speculation that petrol or
diesel supplies might soon face similar disruptions.
Crisis Needs Care for
Words
Such rumours expose
deeper weaknesses in India’s official communication system. Crisis messaging
should anticipate concerns, offer transparency and provide credible timelines.
Instead, responses are often delayed, information restricted and questions avoided,
leaving a vacuum quickly filled by speculation.
India has seen
similar lapses before—from poorly handled messaging during the Kargil conflict
to confusion surrounding the Pulwama attack, the Galwan Valley clash and even
the COVID-19 crisis.In information warfare on ‘Operation Sindoor’ too, narratives
have often slipped despite ground successes.
Clear communication
could also have explained policy options like greater use of low-sulphur diesel
to ease LPG pressure. Sound policy alone is insufficient; credibility and
timely explanation are equally essential. Communication builds trust; silence
or confusion breeds hostility.
Effective governance
requires more than sound policy; it requires credible explanation. Markets,
citizens and businesses can handle difficult realities — even shortages — if
they are told the truth clearly and promptly. What they cannot handle is
uncertainty created by silence or mixed signals.---INFA
(Copyright,
India News & Feature Alliance)
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Somaliland In New Middle East:Balance of Power, By Janusz Bylinski, 14 March 2026 |
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Spotlight
New Delhi, 14 March
2026
Somaliland
In New Middle East :Balance of Power
By Janusz
Bylinski
(Expert, Centre
for International Relations, Poland)
Since December last, Somaliland
has been at the centre of a cyclone that has gripped the Middle East and Horn
of Africa. Israel's recognition of its sovereignty sent ripples from Turkey
across Africa. Was this a catalyst for the crystallization of a new balance of
power, or was it part of a planned regional reorganisation?
On 26 December,
Israel formally recognised Somaliland as a sovereign and independent state,
arguing it meets "the objective criteria for statehood under customary
international law, as reflected in the Montevideo Convention." As per 1933
Convention, a state must possess following characteristics: a permanent
population, a defined territory, a government, and the capacity to enter
relations with other states.
In return, Somaliland
declared it would join the Abraham Accords. In early January, Israeli Foreign
Minister Gideon Sar visited Somaliland, and the official signing of the
accession agreement was expected during the visit of the country's prime
minister to Israel in March this year, which will probably be postponed due to
the ongoing war with Iran.
Israel has pledged to
cooperate with Somaliland in agriculture, health, technology and economy, while
unofficially there is talk of establishing an Israeli intelligence base capable
of observing and pre-emptively responding to threats from Iran and Yemeni
Houthis. On the Somaliland side, Minister of Presidential Affairs Khadar
Hussein Abdi, mentioned such a possibility. President Abdirahman Mohamed
Abdullahi suggested granting Israel privileged access to his country's mineral
resources.
The recognition is
not an ad hoc decision, taken in isolation from broader plans. It coincides
with the new President striving to improve the country's international
standing, and, on the other hand, with plans being developed in Israel to
rebuild the regional security architecture.
Throughout 2025,
media platforms propagating Israeli propaganda (and, by extension, the United
Arab Emirates) have been actively campaigning in support of Somaliland as a
potential Western defence outpost in Horn of Africa. Since early 2026, dozens
of AI-generated podcasts have continued to appeal to selected countries—Greece,
Morocco, and Germany—to recognise Somaliland's sovereignty, presenting benefits
of doing so.
There is also
sympathy for such a move in the US. In June 2025, influential Republicans
introduced a draft resolution calling on the government to recognise Somaliland
"as a separate [and] independent state." This would be a major
victory for the country and its government is offering the US access to
territory for construction of a military base and exclusive access to mineral
resources. These efforts remain more in realm of political rhetoric than
reality. President Trump's administration is uninterested in these proposals,
likely due to complex interplay of interests in the region and its
preoccupation with other important matters, such as the conflict with Iran.
Trump himself is reported to have said: "Somaliland? What is it?"
Somalia still
considers Somaliland part of its territory. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud reacted
with outrage, stating that Israel's declaration constituted "illegal
aggression" and was "contrary to established legal and diplomatic
principles." Other countries and regional organisations, including Arab
League Council, OIC, EU, and African Union, responded to Israel's decision by
reaffirming Somalia's sovereignty and territorial integrity, while some
entities strongly rejected or even condemned Israel's move.
The UAE refused to
sign the joint statement of Arab League and OIC condemning Israel's recognition,
as did Morocco and Bahrain, but in January 2026 it issued a joint statement
with the AU defending "the sovereignty, territorial integrity, security
and stability of Somalia", demonstrating flexibility also evident in its
withdrawal from South Yemen in December 2025. Kenya also didn’t join the AU's
position. Yemen's Houthis have warned that any Israeli presence in Somaliland
would be treated as a "military target" for their armed forces.
In response to
Israel's move, Saudi Arabia took a firm stance, insisting on maintaining
Somalia's unity. Turkey strengthened its military presence in Mogadishu, and
during a visit to Ethiopia, Prime Minister Erdogan warned Somaliland's
secession could pose a threat to the unstable region. In January, Somalia and
Qatar signed a defence cooperation agreement in Doha. In February, Somalia and
Saudi Arabia signed a Military Cooperation Agreement in Riyadh to strengthen
bilateral defence relations, improve military training, provide technical
assistance, and support Somali Armed Forces.
In early 2026 Egypt
significantly increased its military presence in Somalia, sending around 1,100
troops as part of the new AU Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia. Saudi
Arabia stands for unity and integrity of existing state entities and opposes
plans to dismember and reshape Middle East political structure, which could
ultimately threaten its statehood.
Somaliland is a
quasi-state with a functioning democratic system, government, military, and
currency. Since its proclamation of independence in 1991, it has operated in a
political grey zone, unrecognised but also undisturbed by its neighbours,
including Somalia, which formally considers it part of a federation. Somalia
itself is close to failed state status, threatened by further disintegration. Despite
its lack of international recognition, it maintains representations in several
countries on a reciprocal basis such as diplomatic relations with Taiwan and
cooperation agreements with China.
Somaliland is world’s
fourth poorest country. Livestock exports (sheep, cows, and camels), primarily
to Saudi Arabia, account for majority of its GDP. Its only remaining military
base, near port of Berbera, has been owned by UAE since 2017 and the naval base
has been transformed into a nearly complete facility, equipped with advanced
infrastructure, including a modern military port, a deep-water dock, and a
runway with hangars and support facilities.
Of all European
countries, Great Britain is most involved in economic development in its former
colony. British entities hold concessions for resource exploration, while
others establish themselves in the port area to provide logistical services. For
UAE, Berbera is both a link in an extensive network of ports and airports
stretching across Africa, and a strategic outpost whose control creates power
projection and allows it to influence the vital geopolitical environment.
The synergy between
Israel and UAE, been strengthening in recent years, means their interests in
Somaliland are largely aligned. For both, control of the crucial chokepoint
between Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean is a stake worth playing for.
Identifying and blocking threats from Iran, being able to influence maritime
transport, building new logistics routes that bypass or diminish the importance
of existing ones, offering transshipment and maintenance services to
shipowners, and taking over the transport channels for critical raw materials
all represent significant gains in themselves.
Acquiring Somaliland
as a client and protégé is part of a broader strategy to reshape the balance of
power in the Middle East to Israel's advantage. Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu recently announced a plan for a "hexagon of alliances" that
would encompass Israel, Greece, Cyprus, India, and unnamed countries in the
Middle East, Asia, and Africa. This hexagon would encompass a security zone on
Israel's periphery and be capable of countering two axes: a Shiite axis led by
Iran and a Sunni axis of states supporting radical Islam.
Modi's visit to
Israel, two days before the launch of the attack on Iran, confirms the
increasingly strong India-Israel ties and synergies of interests. India is the
largest recipient of Israeli defence products. It shares with Israel Muslim
extremism threat and terrorism. Both countries are vitally interested in
maritime security, with India seeking to play an increasingly important role in
its security architecture and build alternatives to China's BRI connecting
Indian Ocean with the Mediterranean.
However, the new
balance of power in Middle East following the war with Iran will be crucial. It’s
impossible to predict whether the Arab states of the Peninsula will reassess
their security situation and seek alternative sources of weapons and alliances.
Whether they will close ranks to oppose Israel's absolute hegemony, or whether
their rivalry will deepen. And whether a victorious Israel will unimpededly
pursue its future plans?---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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Ongoing Iran War: IMPACT ON INDIA, By Dr. D.K. Giri, 13 March 2026 |
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Round The World
New Delhi, 13 March 2026
Ongoing Iran
War
IMPACT ON
INDIA
By Dr.
D.K. Giri
(Prof of
Practice, NIIS Group of Institutions)
The Iran war is an ongoing conflict with serious
consequences for the global security and economy. Unlike the Ukrainian war,
which is somewhat confined to Europe, the war in Iran will affect the whole
world. It will disrupt the energy supply as Iran has considerable oil reserve
and Tehran controls the sea route, the Strait of Hormuz which passes 20 per
cent of world’s oil. Due to historical links between India and Iran, mainly on
trade, and Iran potentially providing the connection for India to Central Asia,
the impact of the war on India is going to be substantial.
The US and Israel launched series of strikes on Iran,
targeting military and nuclear-related sites. The US hit the military
capabilities of Iran – the navy and the missile and drone production
infrastructure while Israel hit everything that IDF could reach. The indiscriminate
bombarding, particularly on the school building killing about 176 small
children stirred the conscience of the world, including the allies of the
United States. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on US bases in
the region and by firing randomly at Israel.
What was perhaps strategically conceived and presented to
the world as a pre-emptive, prompt and a short-term strike is still going on
without immediate sight of an end. It is like the war in Ukraine which Russian
President Putin called ‘Special Military Operation’ that was to end in days and
weeks. Horrifyingly, the war is still continuing after four years. US President
Donald Trump who initially hinted that the war will end in four to six weeks,
now claims there is “practically nothing left to target in Iran”. But Iran’s
supreme leader’s advisor warns of a “war of attrition that will destroy the
world economy”. He also claims that the end of the war will be decided by Iran.
On a strategic note, Iran had supposedly anticipated this
attack by the US and Israel. Iranian leadership had made strategic provisions
for the event of decapitation of top leadership. That is what happened within
hours of the strike, the Supreme Leader along with the top officials of Iran
was eliminated. Observers attribute this quick assassination of top leadership
to a mole in the Supreme Leader’s inner circle. Be that as it may, Iranian
leadership had set up decentralised command system which meant that several military
units could independently retaliate the invading forces in case the Central
Command becomes inactive after such assassination. So, the war can continue
from multiple sources. This is exactly what seems to be happening at the
moment.
On 28 February 2026, US-Israel began bombing Iran. In
retaliation, Iran sent missiles to the Gulf states which had American bases. A
few days ago, the UN Security Council passed a resolution (2817) condemning
Iran’s ‘egregious attacks on Gulf states’ with 13 votes in favour and 2
abstentions (China and Russia). The Resolution demanded Iran stop attacks on
Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE and Jordan and refrain from
interfering with maritime trade.
The expansion of the war into the other states in the
Gulf region will heavily affect India. The supply of energy will be interrupted
as well as India’s exports to the world. India was using countries like UAE to
export elsewhere to the world. That will be hit. India imports substantial oil
from the Gulf region. If the war continued for a few weeks, India could use its
strategic reserves of oil. But if it lasted longer like it did in Iraq and
Afghanistan, India’s economy will be badly hit.
Some oil exporters are exploring other routes through
Africa, as the Strait of Hormuz remains vulnerable. That will shoot up the
transport costs. From available reports, hundreds of ships are stranded in and
around the Strait of Hormuz. If ships passing through Hormuz are sunk, passage
through the Strait may remain closed for a long time.
So, the rise on energy price will have a cascading effect
on all other prices. Reportedly, prices are already rising and shortages are
appearing, resulting in black marketing. Agriculture, textiles, tiles, glass,
plastics, hotels, restaurants, airlines and energy-intensive products are
already impacted. More the war protracts the worse will be the impact. The ‘balance
of payment’ will be upset. Iran may not support India on the Chahbahar Port
which was gateway for India to the Central Asia.
Furthermore, since Iran has attacked airports and
critical infrastructure in the Gulf region, the oil-producing countries have
curtailed production and their crude is stuck. It is assumed that even after
the war ends, they may not be able to immediately ramp-up production. So,
energy deficits in many countries will persist for some time.
As the air and sea routes are disrupted, trade and travel
through and around the Gulf – a critical geographical space that connects the
West with the East – have virtually stopped. Difficulties in travel will impact
hotels, tourism and the entertainment industry. According to Government of
India, there are about 1 crore Indians working in the Gulf region. Remittances
from them into NRI accounts are substantial. These will decline, weakening the
capital flows. Many NRIs are wanting to return to India due to the conflict and
decline in production in West Asia. This will hurt the employment situation in
India.
How is India coping with the impact of the war? First, India
is seeking to diversify its energy sources and is exploring alternative
suppliers. The government has reportedly held discussions with major oil
producers like Russia, Saudi Arabia and UAE to ensure stable energy supplies.
The US seems to have reconciled to the disruption of oil supply and therefore
has agreed to waive tariffs if India decides to purchase oil from Russia which
is already in the sea.
Admittedly, India will experience price rise and some
temporary inflation although GOI is assuring its citizens not to panic. To
mitigate the price shocks, the Government is considering temporary relief
measures such as LPG subsidies and fuel tax adjustments.
Some observers argue that India’s economy and security
will be negatively impacted as New Delhi chose to stay in the US-Israel camp.
This was evident from Prime Minister Modi’s visit to Israel 48 hours before the
war started. But India’s economy would have been hit as it is now irrespective
of which side it was on. The fallout of the war has to be faced in any case.
As I said in this column last week, New Delhi has made a
conscious choice of aligning with the democratic world while maintaining
friendly relations with other powers. This is a right choice as so-called
neutrality in a war has its costs. India was already paying some of it because
of its non-committal approach to the war in Ukraine. Prime Minister Modi made
quick corrections in case of Iran which has been a bigger friend than even
Ukraine.---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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SPEAKER, CONVENTION AND THE POLL, By Inder Jit, 12 March 2026 |
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REWIND
New Delhi, 12 March 2026
SPEAKER, CONVENTION AND THE POLL
By Inder Jit
(Released on 11 December 1979)
Talk in New Delhi for most of last week was dominated
largely by the India-Pakistan Test. It provided the Union capital with some
healthy excitement and relaxation. The game was happily played in its best
spirit. Even controversial decisions by the umpires were accepted without
demur. But the Test will have served a larger purpose if it brings to our
politicians at the Centre one overdue realisation: no game can be played
smoothly without adhering to its ground rules and established conventions.
Parliamentary democracy, too, has its rules. Unfortunately, however, these have
been followed more in their breach. Not enough has been done to set up healthy
conventions. In fact, a welcome reminder has come from a former Speaker of the
Lok Sabha, Mr Hukam Singh and three eminent jurists. They have, in keeping with
the finest parliamentary traditions, urged leaders of all political parties to
agree to the uncontested return of the Speaker, Mr K.S. Hegde, in the
forthcoming poll to the Lok Sabha.
Few even today appreciate the key role of the Speaker
in a parliamentary democracy without whom, according to Erskine May, "the
House has no constitutional existence." Jawaharlal Nehru understood fully
the importance of the office of the Speaker and laid emphasis on its prestige
and authority time and again. Speaking on March 8, 1958, on the occasion of the
unveiling of the portrait of Speaker Vithalbhai Patel in the Lok Sabha, Nehru
candidly observed: "The Speaker represents the House. He represents the
dignity of the House, the freedom of the House and because the House represents
the nation, in a particular way the Speaker becomes the symbol of the nation's
freedom and liberty. Therefore, it is right that his should be an honoured
position, a free position and should be occupied always by men of outstanding
ability and impartiality." Nehru also showed the greatest respect to the
Speaker and by his own conduct as the Leader of the House encouraged the Chair
to be independent and impartial.
I recall seeing Nehru once clash with free India's
first Speaker, G.V. Mavalankar, on the floor of the Lok Sabha in the early
fifties when the latter firmly disallowed him from making a second statement in
one day in contravention of the rules. But Nehru soon realised his mistake and,
though visibly agitated, gracefully bowed to the Speaker's firm ruling. Curiously,
however, nothing concrete came to be done to establish tried conventions
designed to recognise and ensure the Speaker's impartiality and independence. One
sure way of achieving this was to depoliticize the office of the Speaker well
and truly and to see that he was enabled to keep himself entirely aloof from
party politics. Another and more important was to provide for his uncontested
return to the House. But even Nehru failed to do the needful despite the clear
lead given initially by Vithalbhai Patel in the pre-independence days and the
healthy convention sought to be established by Mavalankar following
independence.
Vithalbhai, who succeeded Sir Frederick Whyte as
India's first Indian Speaker in 1925, dissociated himself from the Swarajist
Party of which he was an active member prior to his election and kept himself
aloof from party interests during his entire term of office. What is more, in
the election of 1926, he did not stand on Congress ticket but contested as on independent
and was returned unopposed. In 1951, before the Constitution came into effect,
the Conference of Presiding Officers, under Mavalankar's leadership, expressed
the view that the Speaker should dissociate himself from party politics and,
towards this end, "a convention should be established that the seat from
which the Speaker stands for re-election should not be contested". But
this suggestion went unheeded and Mavalankar was forced to contest on Congress
ticket -- opposed by the Ram Rajya Parishad, the Scheduled Castes Federation
and the Krishak Lok Party.
Two years later, in 1953, the Conference of Presiding
Officers at Gwalior adopted a resolution reaffirming its stand that a Speaker
should be returned uncontested and expressing the view that "steps for
making a beginning in that direction may be pressed upon the Government."
Mavalankar then took up the matter with Nehru. The Congress Working Committee
considered the issue and sent a communication to Mavalanker which was disclosed
by him at the Conference of Presiding Officers in Srinagar in 1954 in the
following words: "Obviously, they (the Congress Working Committee) accept
the desirability of laying the wider convention that the Speaker's seat should
not be contested but that the will require concurrence of other political
parties which they felt was not possible to obtain. But the important point is
that they have accepted that it is a right convention and further they have
also accepted the position that so far as possible they should not set aside a
Speaker while considering his nomination for general election and then his
election to Speakership..."
The Congress Working Committee's decision was welcomed
by Mavalankar as a good advance in the desired direction. "All
conventions", he added, "grow bit by bit... we have laid the first
brick very firmly and we have now to strive further". Mavalankar then
significantly proceeded to spell out the "necessary counterpart of this
convention" -- the obligation on the Speaker. "The counterpart",
he said, "is that the Speaker has to abstain from active participation in
all controversial politics. The essence of the matter is that the Speaker has
to place himself in the position of a judge. He has not to become a partisan so
as to avoid unconscious bias for or against a particular view and thus inspire
confidence in all sections of the House about his integrity and impartiality.
If we are able to build up this convention on our own, then only we shall be
able to justify, in course of time, the other one about the Speaker's seat
being uncontested."
Alas, things have not worked out the way Mavalankar
hoped, the Speaker, after all, is human and it has not always been possible (or
practical) for him to resist political temptation in the absence of a definite
convention assuring his continuance in office through uncontested Parliamentary
election. At least one erstwhile Speaker candidly told me following his
acceptance of an office. "We are elected on party ticket with party funds.
How can we claim independence?" In fact, many unfortunate, nay tragic,
developments have taken place at the Centre and in the States during the past
three decades and more deeply involving the Speakers in active politics. Some
years ago, Mrs Gandhi brought the Lok Sabha down to the sorry level of some
State Assemblies and appointed Speaker G.S. Dhillon a minister in her Cabinet,
undermining both the prestige and the independence of the Chair. No eyebrows
are raised any more in the States when politicians accept Speakership only to
exploit the office for earning richer political dividends.
The Opposition has unfortunately not always acted in
its best self-interest by denying, in effect, cooperation in providing for the
uncontested election of a Speaker and adopting the traditional British maxim:
Once a Speaker, always a Speaker. It has failed to appreciate that its need of
an independent and impartial Speaker is much greater than that of the
Government which, in any case, can take care of itself with its majority. Indeed,
the Speaker has been given absolute powers under the rules mainly to enable him
to function impartially and give the required protection to the minority in the
best national interest. The Opposition has not only acted unwisely in this matter.
Worse, it has undermined the Speaker's dignity and ability to function
judiciously by disobeying him time and again and even calling him names.
Vithalbhai, veteran observers recall, successfully asserted the dignity and
independence of his high office during the British Raj and symbolically
occupied a seat beside the Viceroy when the latter attended the House for its formal
opening.
It is not too late even now to mend matters. The
Speaker's office can and should be depoliticized by common consent without any
further ado and a Speaker enabled to rise above political temptation and
maintain his independence and impartiality. (Not many are aware that as many as
nine Speakers have been beheaded in Britain, two on the same day!) Various
political parties should not only agree on an uncontested election of a Speaker
but pledge him their full support in the event of opposition by uncommitted
independents. More can follow later and agreed codes of conduct drawn up and
enforced firmly. (The Speaker, for his part, must also function in a manner in
keeping with the dignity of the House. A few years ago, Dr. Horace Alexander, a
good and learned Speaker of the House of Commons, was removed from his office
for lack of discretion in socialising!) Either we are interested in preserving
democracy and strengthening it or we are not. Mere platitudes and lip service
will not do.---INFA.
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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Towards Green Energy: GULF CRISIS SEEKS STRATEGY, By Dhurjati Mukherjee, 11 March 2026 |
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Open
Forum
New
Delhi, 11 March 2026
Towards Green Energy
GULF CRISIS SEEKS
STRATEGY
By Dhurjati Mukherjee
In the wake of the Middle East crisis, the
need for acceleration of green energy in India assumes great significance more
so because the country has committed to net-zero emissions by 2070. Agreeably,
rapid strides are manifest in cultivating clean energy, but more concerted efforts
are needed.
Let’s start with current oil crisis. The
Hormuz Strait carries 20% of the global oil supply as there is no alternative
to compensate for the loss of supplies on this scale. India depends upon nearly
50% of its oil imports on countries in this region. Since February, there has
been an increase of $4.54 per barrel in the price of Brent crude and since the
war broke out, this has further risen. Just a one dollar increase in crude oil
can result in an increase of India’s annual crude import bill by Rs 14,000
crore. With US permission to India to purchase Russian oil vide a 30-date
waiver, India has swiftly procured more than 10 million barrels of Russian
crude while around 15 million barrels are currently on tankers in the Arabian
Sea and Bay of Bengal and another 7 million barrels are idling near Singapore.
Gas is, however, an area of concern as India
imports LNG requirements from Qatar and the UAE which lie inside the Hormuz
Strait. Qatar, which accounts for 40% of India’s LNG import, has stopped its production
and export. This has resulted in the spot price of Asian LNG tripling from
$10.73 to $35 per MMBtu. Regarding LPG, India imports 60% from West Asia and
the longer the war lasts, households are expected to suffer. Right now, it’s important
to tap other sources like Australia and Canada but, in the long-term, there is
a need to scale up biogas production in the country.
A recent Niti Aayog report reiterated that
reliable, affordable and progressively cleaner electricity is essential to
improve living standards, raise productivity and unlock a low-carbon transition
across transport, buildings and industry. With nearly 258GW of renewable energy
capacity installed by December 2025, India has emerged as the world’s fourth
largest renewable energy. However, the country’s coal consumption could more
than double by mid-century before plunging sharply as the country shifts
towards cleaner energy, as indicated.
In 2025, India achieved a major milestone
with 50% of the installed power generation capacity now coming from non-fossil
fuel sources, five years ahead of its 2030 target under the December 2015Paris
Agreement. The world’s fastest growing economy now has a total installed
generation capacity of around 510GW, comprising 247GW of fossil fuel sources
and 262GW non-fossil fuel, including 254GW from renewable energy sources. India
is expected to add around 50GW of renewable energy capacity this year, backed
by investments of nearly Rs 2 lakh crore, taking its total non-fossil fuel
capacity to about 262GW. Governments expect to sustain similar pace of capacity
addition in 2026, even as challenges related to land acquisition and delays in
signing power purchase agreements continue to constrain fresh projects.
The sector has already added a whopping
44.5GW of new capacity, including the large hydro capacity during the 11-month
period of 2025, led by the solar power segment. India’s clean energy capacity
continues to be driven by solar power, which added 35GW across all solar
segments to the grid during the period compared with 25GW added in 2024. Top
states in solar power installed capacity include Rajasthan (36GW), Gujarat
(25GW), Maharashtra (17GW) and Tamil Nadu (12GW).
However, the passage of Shanti Acthas thrown open
doors of nuclear energy to private parties. As is known, nuclear operates
continuously, requires minimal land and provides the stable baseload power that
modern economies need. The government’s target of 100GW of nuclear capacity by
2047 represents roughly 12 times its current capacity, which at present doesn’t
appear an easy target. While India did not commit to tripling nuclear capacity
at COP28 in Dubai, the Shanti Act shows commitment through concrete legislative
action. But it’swelcome that sensitive activities like enrichment and
reprocessing remain State monopolies, appropriately balancing commercial
opportunity with proliferation concerns.
The Rs 3000 crore liability threshold would
be grossly insufficient in a worst-case event. The new Act hinges on private
investors committing substantial capital – this is questionable given global
evidence of nuclear projects running 2-3 times over budget. Nuclear projects
require 30-year payback periods, far exceeding private sector horizons of 10
years-odd. Whether venture capital would be forthcoming and the Act be a
watershed movement in the realm of green energy, time will tell. Experts suggest
designing financial mechanisms that make private nuclear investment viable,
accelerating indigenous SMR development to prevent technology lock-in and
ensuring liability provisions.
As India is fast developing, it can’t do
without fossil fuel, and its effects and those on environment needs to be
understood. Doctors opine the most direct impact of such fuel is on the
respiratory system. Toxic air pollution directly affects the human body,
increasing risk of dangerous infections like pneumonia, cancers and chronic
respiratory conditions. Evidence has shown air pollution increases
cardiovascular diseases, risk of strokes and dementia among other neurological
conditions.
Children are particularly at risk because
their organs are still developing and, as they grow, they are exposed to these
toxins that generate long-term impacts. Several countries subsidised fossil
fuels for one trillion dollars last year and over one trillion the year before.
Yet, the enormous public funds subsidising fossil fuels should be directed to
support improved health, better access to clean energy and making new
infrastructure that benefits well-being. Experts believe that though India’s
usage of fossil fuel led to huge economic development at the same time, it must
be acknowledged this is now doing more harm than good.
Numerous questions arise while maintaining
balance between rapid development and implementation of clean energy. A section
feels government is steadily moving towards green energy while another, including
environmentalists, opine it’s lagging in addressing environmental concerns,
which plague primarily the poor. For a country geared to a faster development
trajectory, it’s impossible to abandon fossil fuels.
What should government strategy be? While
balancing power needs, it’s vital to ensure pollution in all forms is
controlled with an iron hand to check the looming environmental threat. Industrial
fumes, emission-emitting vehicles we see on roads and highways should
immediately be banned and other steps taken to ensure that deterioration of air
and water pollution is kept at bare minimum. Reports indicate that authorities
are surprisingly lenient in such matters as bribery does play a part.
Meanwhile, though globally efforts are on to
shift to renewable energy, the US decision to pull-out from all major
climate-linked global bodies, including India headquartered International Solar
Alliance (ISA) and UN Framework Convention on Climate Change is a setback. However,
most nations are determined to curb emission though stronger initiatives. India
must do its bit.---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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